Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia) 🌤️ ...


	UCAM Murcia		Marbella

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.95	3.2	4	Watch
	2	2.99	4.1
	2	2.99	4.11
	2.05	2.88	3.5
	1.89	3.08	4.21
	1.97	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)	3.03 ↑ (2.88)	3.9 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
46.4%

Draw
30.1%

Marbella
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

29.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

UCAM Murcia - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1.

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UCAM Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Racing Cartagena MM	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTLW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	Águilas - Marbella	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Marbella - Vélez	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sevilla B - Marbella	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Marbella - Betis B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.09.23	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	2:0
26.01.20	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	4:0
07.09.19	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	2:2
12.05.19	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	2:0
22.12.18	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	1:0
05.05.18	UCAM Murcia - Marbella	2:1
10.12.17	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.11.26	UCAM Murcia - Mallorca B	✺
- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.11.26	Marbella - Mijas-Las Lagunas	✺

UCAM Murcia - Marbella