Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.25
	1.42	3.8	7.6
	1.42	3.95	8.67
	1.42	3.78	8.46	Watch
	1.41	3.92	8.45
	1.42	3.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.46)	3.84 ↑ (3.77)	8.01 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
64.7%

Draw
23.8%

Villanovense
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

23%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

UCAM Murcia - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Ramis Luque A. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Abreu ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 2.

UCAM Murcia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villanovense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match UCAM Murcia is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.10.24	Linense - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.09.24	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.10.24	Villanovense - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Don Benito - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Villanovense - Minera	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	San Fernando - Villanovense	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Villanovense - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.03.19	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	1:1
11.11.18	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	2:1
15.04.18	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	2:0
19.11.17	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	0:0
26.03.16	Villanovense - UCAM Murcia	0:1
08.11.15	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	2:1
08.02.15	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	1:0

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