Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	2.95	3	2.25
	2.8	3.05	2.35
	3	3	2.26
	3.03	3.35	2.29
	2.98	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.37)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	2.24 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
30.1%

Draw
29.2%

Villarreal B
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.2%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

UCAM Murcia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.03.22	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
27.02.22	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	2:3 ✺
20.02.22	UCAM Murcia - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	UCAM Murcia - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Castellón - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.22	Badalona Futur - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	Villarreal B - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
26.02.22	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Villarreal B - Betis B	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	FC Andorra - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.21	Villarreal B - UCAM Murcia	2:1
Club Friendly
04.08.18	UCAM Murcia - Villarreal B	0:0

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