Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Esport3, WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.13	2.95	3.4
	2.2	2.92	3.61
	2.16	2.97	3.48	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.18	2.96	3.5
	2.13	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.37)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
41.6%

Draw
31%

Sabadell
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

33.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

34.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

UCAM Murcia - Sabadell Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabadell (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

UCAM Murcia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sabadell is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UCAM Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.05.25	Sabadell - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	UCAM Murcia - Deportivo A Coruña B	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.05.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.05.25	Sabadell - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Eibar B - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sabadell - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.05.25	Valencia B - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sabadell - Badalona Futur	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.05.25	Sabadell - UCAM Murcia	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.02.22	UCAM Murcia - Sabadell	1:1
31.10.21	Sabadell - UCAM Murcia	1:1

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