Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	UCAM Murcia B		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.72	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.42)	3.08 ↓ (3.44)	2.43 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia B
33.8%

Draw
29.2%

Lorca Deportiva
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.5%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

26%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia B's performance.

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Peque ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia B won 2.

UCAM Murcia B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorca Deportiva is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lorca Deportiva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia B won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.02.25	Santomera - UCAM Murcia B	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Deportivo Marítimo - UCAM Murcia B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Lorca Deportiva - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cieza - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.10.24	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:1
17.02.24	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:1
01.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
16.04.23	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	0:2
11.12.22	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	1:2
06.03.22	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
24.10.21	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	2:0

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