Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Cartagena B		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.78
	4.1	3.4	1.79
	4.34	3.12	1.8
	4.39	3.29	1.8
	4.25	3.53	1.82
	4.1	3.4	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.42)	3.32 ↑ (3.22)	1.8 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
21.7%

Draw
27.5%

Lorca Deportiva
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorca Deportiva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Valdeolivas D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Cancela C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Carrasco A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.01.25	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Minerva - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Unión Molinense - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Cartagena B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLLW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.01.25	Lorca Deportiva - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cieza - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.09.24	Lorca Deportiva - Cartagena B	6:0
Club Friendly
12.08.22	Lorca Deportiva - Cartagena B	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.01.22	Lorca Deportiva - Cartagena B	2:2
12.09.21	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	5:1
27.10.19	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	3:1
27.01.19	Lorca Deportiva - Cartagena B	4:0
09.09.18	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0

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