Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Cieza		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.36	3.2	2.75
	2.35	3.14	2.82
	2.36	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.81)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.77 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cieza
38.6%

Draw
28.8%

Lorca Deportiva
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cieza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cieza's performance.

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cieza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cieza - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Luna E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Garnes F. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Ciudad de Cieza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorca Deportiva in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ciudad de Cieza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Cieza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Cieza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.01.25	Cieza - Santomera	1:5 ✺
21.12.24	UCAM Murcia B - Cieza	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cieza - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Cieza - Deportivo Marítimo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.01.25	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.09.24	Lorca Deportiva - Cieza	0:0
14.01.24	Lorca Deportiva - Cieza	1:2
05.02.23	Lorca Deportiva - Cieza	1:1
09.10.22	Cieza - Lorca Deportiva	3:2
11.11.18	Lorca Deportiva - Cieza	2:0

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