Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	UCAM Murcia B		Águilas

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4.8	3.15	1.61
	4.6	3.35	1.63
	5.3	3.23	1.63
	5.25	3.3	1.62
	4.9	3.5	1.64
	4.75	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.76)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia B
18.4%

Draw
26.9%

Águilas
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.7%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-4%)

UCAM Murcia B - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Águilas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Águilas have a series of home games.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.12.22	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Pulpileño - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	UCAM Murcia B - El Palmar	3:2 ✺
16.11.22	Alcantarilla - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWW
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.12.22	Águilas - Racing Murcia	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Águilas - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Águilas - Minera	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Murcia B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
16.11.22	Águilas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.02.21	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	0:1
15.11.20	Águilas - UCAM Murcia B	1:1
15.12.19	Águilas - UCAM Murcia B	2:3
18.11.18	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.03.18	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	1:1

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