Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		Águilas

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.6
	4.9	3.1	1.61
	5	3.3	1.59
	5.41	3.23	1.62
	5.35	3.58	1.58
	5.5	3.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.19 ↑ (5.09)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
17.3%

Draw
27%

Águilas
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.8%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

25.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Real Murcia B - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia B won 3.

Recent matches Murcia B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Águilas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Águilas have a series of guest games.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Murcia B won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia B won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.22	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.11.22	Águilas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Muleño - Águilas	0:5 ✺
30.10.22	La Unión - Águilas	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Cieza - Águilas	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.03.21	Águilas - Real Murcia B	0:0
06.12.20	Real Murcia B - Águilas	2:0
08.12.19	Real Murcia B - Águilas	2:0
11.05.19	Águilas - Real Murcia B	3:1
22.12.18	Real Murcia B - Águilas	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Real Murcia B - Águilas	3:1

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