Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Águilas		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.25
	1.44	3.6	5.75
	1.42	3.8	6
	1.43	3.85	6.46
	1.44	3.7	7
	1.43	4.05	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	3.8 ↑ (3.73)	6.33 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
62.4%

Draw
23.5%

Racing Murcia
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Águilas - Racing Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs)).

Águilas in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Águilas to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.12.22	Águilas - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	Águilas - Minera	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Real Murcia B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
16.11.22	Águilas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Muleño - Águilas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTW
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.12.22	Racing Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Racing Murcia - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
14.11.22	El Palmar - Racing Murcia	2:5 ✺
06.11.22	Racing Murcia - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.05.21	Racing Murcia - Águilas	1:0
25.04.21	Águilas - Racing Murcia	1:1

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