Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.83
	3.85	3.2	1.88
	3.9	3.55	1.76
	4.41	3.3	1.87
	4.05	3.52	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (2.94)	3.33 ↓ (3.42)	1.83 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
22.5%

Draw
27.5%

Osasuna B
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

19.7%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Logroñés Promesas's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

UD Logroñés Promesas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Osasuna B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osasuna B will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.12.21	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Santander B	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Cayón - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Peña Sport	1:1 ✺
06.11.21	Ardoi - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Osasuna B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.12.21	Osasuna B - Gernika	3:3 ✺
27.11.21	Náxara - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
20.11.21	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
13.11.21	Osasuna B - Racing Santander B	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cayón - Osasuna B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTW

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