Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.38
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.8	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.66	3	2.39
	2.94	3.07	2.47
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.83	3.08	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
32.6%

Draw
29.7%

CD Guadalajara
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

31.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Getafe B - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLLW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Mensajero - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
17.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.09.23	CD Guadalajara - UD San Fernando	1:3

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