Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Mensajero		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.4	3.2	1.98
	3.6	3.3	2	Watch
	3.55	3.05	2.04
	3.55	3.04	2.02
	2.97	2.98	2.38
	3.45	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
26.6%

Draw
29.1%

CD Guadalajara
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.8%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

29%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Mensajero - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Mensajero is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Unión Adarve - Mensajero	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Mensajero - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Getafe B - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
31.01.16	Mensajero - CD Guadalajara	1:0
13.09.15	CD Guadalajara - Mensajero	1:0

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