Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.75	2.25
	3.1	2.85	2.25
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.41	2.83	2.36
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.29	2.99	2.27
	3.1	2.85	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	2.92 ↓ (3.14)	2.24 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
28.1%

Draw
31.2%

San Sebastian Reyes
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

29.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

28.4%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Fernando is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SS Reyes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SS Reyes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Getafe B - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.09.23	San Sebastian Reyes - UD San Fernando	2:3

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