Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3
	2.35	2.87	2.85
	2.4	3	3
	2.52	2.85	3.33
	2.44	2.72	3.33
	2.3	2.94	3.06
	2.38	2.85	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	3.09 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
38.3%

Draw
31.9%

Villanovense
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+4%)

UD San Fernando - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2.

San Fernando is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Navalcarnero - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLTL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Villanovense - Betis	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Unión Adarve - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Villanovense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.03.22	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:1
24.10.21	Villanovense - UD San Fernando	2:0

UD San Fernando - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide