Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Coria

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.9
	1.97	3	3.75
	1.97	3	3.7
	2.05	3.02	4.06
	1.99	3.13	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	3.85 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
46.1%

Draw
30.2%

Coria
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Coria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ceuta - Coria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ceuta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.03.22	Cadiz CF B - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Ceuta - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Vélez - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Ceuta - Montijo	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Ceuta - Panadería Pulido	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTTW
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.03.22	Coria - Panadería Pulido	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Las Palmas B - Coria	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Coria - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Villanovense - Coria	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Coria - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	Coria - Ceuta	2:2

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