Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	2	2.87	3.6
	2	3	4
	2.11	2.86	4.01
	2.11	2.82	4.02
	2.04	3.04	3.87
	2.02	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.39)	2.92 ↓ (2.96)	3.87 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
45%

Draw
31.3%

Llerenense
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD San Fernando - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Villajos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Aleman K. 🟥,
87', 0 - 2, Sanchez V. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Llerenense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Fernando will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTT
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Llerenense - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Unión Adarve - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Llerenense - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Llerenense - Getafe B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0

UD San Fernando - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide