Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Llerenense		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.8
	4.1	3.2	1.78
	4.2	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.8
	4.85	3.2	1.8
	4.51	3.3	1.81
	4.4	3.2	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.88)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	1.8 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
21.2%

Draw
28.3%

San Sebastian Reyes
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.1%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

27.1%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Llerenense - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Llerenense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SS Reyes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SS Reyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match SS Reyes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Llerenense - Getafe B	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Llerenense - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Numancia - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Llerenense	3:0

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