Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.3	2.8	2.15
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.26	2.79	2.13
	3.46	2.72	2.4
	3.28	2.93	2.31
	3.25	2.9	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)	2.24 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
27.7%

Draw
31.7%

Talavera de la Reina
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

32.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2.

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Talavera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWTT
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Talavera de la Reina - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0

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