Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Llerenense		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.87	3	2.25
				Watch
	3.28	3	2.38
	3.28	2.88	2.38
	3.21	2.95	2.34
	3.05	3.05	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.24)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)	2.3 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
29.3%

Draw
30.8%

CD Guadalajara
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llerenense - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Villajos M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Llerenense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llerenense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	Unión Adarve - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Llerenense - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Llerenense - Getafe B	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Villanovense - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Llerenense	3:2

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