Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	UNA Strassen		Etzella Ettelbruck

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.4
	1.56	3.85	4.7
	1.55	3.95	4.7
	1.58	4.06	5
	1.54	4.15	4.8	Watch
	1.56	4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	4 (4)	4.73 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNA Strassen
58.2%

Draw
22.6%

Etzella Ettelbruck
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

17.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNA Strassen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Etzella Ettelbruck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UNA Strassen won 2.

Recent matches UNA Strassen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etzella is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Etzella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UNA Strassen is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches UNA Strassen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams UNA Strassen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
04.12.22	Pétange - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	UNA Strassen - Mondercange	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	UNA Strassen - Racing Luxembourg	1:4 ✺
06.11.22	Hostert - UNA Strassen	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	UNA Strassen - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLL
- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Hostert - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
13.11.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0 ✺
23.10.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Wiltz 71	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
13.02.22	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:3
22.08.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	2:3
18.04.21	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
03.04.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	8:7 ET
Luxembourg National Division
25.11.18	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	0:2
21.02.16	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:0
09.08.15	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	N/A

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