Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck) 🌤️ ...


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	4.80	4.00	1.52
	4.90	3.70	1.55
	4.99	4.10	1.58
	5.5	4.29	1.49	Watch
	5.40	4.20	1.49
	4.99	4.41	1.56
	5.20	4.10	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.4)	4.11 ↑ (3.65)	1.53 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
17.9%

Draw
22.3%

Progrès Niedercorn
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.6%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

24.1%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Rienhardt M. ⚽, Dupays H. (A),
90+1', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽, Yamba Mubeya S. (A),

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th in the BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etzella won 0.

Etzella is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Progrès Niedercorn shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Etzella has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Progrès Niedercorn for this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Etzella has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:33 (averaging 0.7:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Etzella against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:13 goals (averaging 0.7:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Niedercorn	11	6	1	4	16:9	7	19
13	Ettelbruck	11	2	2	7	9:19	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
18.10.26	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Etzella Ettelbruck - F91 Dudelange	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Differdange 03 - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
17.10.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Hostert - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rumelange	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
23.04.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1
13.11.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1
07.05.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1
04.12.21	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0
03.11.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:4
12.08.18	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:3
13.03.16	Etzella Ettelbruck - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2

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