Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Hernandez Andrade K. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	UNAM		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	4.1	Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.70
	1.85	3.45	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.71	4.45
	1.84	3.65	4.28	Watch
	1.82	3.55	4.35
	1.84	3.52	4.09	Watch
	1.82	3.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	4.11 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
51%

Draw
26.1%

Querétaro
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

UNAM - Querétaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 24. Leone T. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 45. Vite P. 7. Lopez R. 8. Carrasquilla A. 18. Arteaga V. 21. Antuna U. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho	25. Allison G. (G) 24. Duarte B. 13. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 5. Homenchenko S. 16. Gimenez E. 20. Alcala A. 12. Paulo Victor 9. Avila A.
Substitutes
34. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 12. Calderon C. 199. Carranza K. 203. Garcia S. 14. Herrera L. 35. Lara P. (G) 9. Martinez G. 22. Medina A. 20. Trigos S.	28. Arellano J. 35. Cazares J. 18. Duenas E. 199. Garcia S. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 29. Madrid W. 30. Martinez J. 8. Parra B. 26. Perez E. 22. Unjanque J.
Coaches
Solari E.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Paulo Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Alcala A. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
59', Paulo Victor ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
67', Garcia C. 🟨,
70', Juninho ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
70', Vite P. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
81', Nathan Silva 🟨,
82', Duarte B. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
82', Garcia C. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
83', Unjanque J. 🟨,
83', Antuna U. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
83', Leone T. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
90+1', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Querétaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, UNAM is considered a favorite.

There will not play in UNAM: Macias J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Querétaro: Villanueva C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in UNAM: Cordova S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

UNAM Pumas: 4% Queretaro: 3.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	13:8	5	17
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Querétaro - the odds 4.22 are the expected chance of winning is 22.23%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Columbus Crew - UNAM	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Charlotte - UNAM	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Juárez - UNAM	1:5 ✺
21.07.26	Toluca - UNAM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLLWW
- Querétaro FC
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Los Angeles - Querétaro	2:1 penalties ✺
09.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	FC Dallas - Querétaro	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Pachuca - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
11.01.26	UNAM - Querétaro	1:1
25.07.25	Querétaro - UNAM	0:2
19.01.25	Querétaro - UNAM	3:2
05.11.24	UNAM - Querétaro	2:0
26.04.24	Querétaro - UNAM	1:1
04.10.23	UNAM - Querétaro	4:0
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.23	UNAM - Querétaro	0:1

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