Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bombo Stadium (Kampala)


	UPDF		Entebbe UPPC

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.82	2.98
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.26	3.18	3.08
	2.16	2.85	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.6)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.05 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UPDF
39.9%

Draw
30.6%

Entebbe UPPC
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UPDF's performance.

Entebbe UPPC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Entebbe UPPC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Entebbe UPPC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Entebbe UPPC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UPDF - Entebbe UPPC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Kigozi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

In recent matches, UPDF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Entebbe is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Entebbe UPPC	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7
10	UPDF	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
07.01.26	Kitara - UPDF	2:1 ✺
16.12.25	UPDF - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
10.12.25	Buhimba United Saints - UPDF	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	UPDF - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Vipers - UPDF	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL
- Entebbe UPPC
Ugandan Super League
13.01.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Entebbe UPPC	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Kitara	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Express	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Mbarara City - Entebbe UPPC	1:1 ✺
27.11.25	Bul - Entebbe UPPC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
16.04.24	UPDF - Entebbe UPPC	1:1
07.12.23	Entebbe UPPC - UPDF	2:1
14.12.22	UPDF - Entebbe UPPC	3:1
29.03.22	Entebbe UPPC - UPDF	1:3
02.11.21	UPDF - Entebbe UPPC	2:2

UPDF - Entebbe UPPC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide