The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UPDF 6.2%
Draw 16.2%
Vipers 77.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.4%
21.9%
67.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.1%
21.2%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vipers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vipers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UPDF - Vipers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Usama A. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Lubwama E. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Watambala K. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
UPDF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vipers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Vipers is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:34. (average 0.5:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
Watch
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