The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
URT 34.1%
Draw 33.2%
Tombense 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
31%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
30.8%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for URT than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
URT - Tombense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - URT (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. URT (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ariel (G) 22. Arlen 3. Leo Santos 4. Victor Sallinas (C) 20. Wesley 5. John Everson 88. Pedrinho 11. Cesar 15. Hippolito 21. Andrade F. 19. Gabriel Moyses
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Julio Henrique 3. Breno Roma 4. Wesley (C) 5. Joao Vitor 6. Diego Leandro 8. Dyego 7. Rafinha 10. Pedro Oliveira 11. Ronald 9. Jupi
Substitutes
12. Arthur Gazze (G) 16. Bruninho 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 26. Dutra G. 13. Evson 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 99. Marcelo Macola 33. Peloggia M. 7. Rolon L. 6. Vitor Gottems
13. Auro 20. Cleiton 23. Davi Schneider (G) 12. Douglas Marques (G) 21. Felipinho 19. Julio Cesar 17. Luiz Felipe 15. PH 14. Rony Fernandes 18. Wanderson 16. Xavier
Coaches
Roque A.
Borges C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Andrade F. ⚽, Cesar (A),
17', Julio Henrique 🟨,
19', Wesley 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira ⚽,
45+12', 2 - 1, Andrade F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hippolito ↓, Vitor Gottems ↑,
55', 🟨,
56', Diego Leandro 🟨,
66', Leo Santos 🟨,
68', Diego Leandro ↓, PH ↑,
73', Jupi ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
73', Rafinha ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Gabriel Moyses ⚽,
82', Wesley ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
84', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
87', Dyego 🟨,
88', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Felipinho ↑,
88', Leo Santos 🟨,
90', Cesar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Ditinho ↑,
90+5', Andrade F. ↓, Evson ↑,
90+5', Julio Henrique 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URT won 1.
In recent matches, URT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tombense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
URT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, URT won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, URT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Brazil
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Ariel (G) 
Andrade F. 
Rolon L. 
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