Match Info

Mineiro - Round 8

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Zama Maciel (Patos de Minas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	URT		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.5	4.05	1.41	Watch
	8.36	4.04	1.42
	8.14	4.07	1.39	Watch
	7.5	3.6	1.4
	8.45	3.82	1.39
	8	4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↓ (8.95)	3.93 ↓ (4.52)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

URT
11.5%

Draw
23.3%

Cruzeiro
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

20.2%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

14.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for URT than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

URT - Cruzeiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Cruzeiro (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ariel (G) 2. Leandro Silva 3. Leo Santos 4. Victor Sallinas (C) 25. Augusto G. 5. John Everson 88. Pedrinho 11. Cesar 15. Hippolito 21. Andrade F. 19. Gabriel Moyses	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 8. Matheus Henrique 16. Lucas Silva (C) 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 11. Gerson 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
12. Arthur Gazze (G) 16. Bruninho 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 13. Evson 93. Guilherme Garre 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 99. Marcelo Macola 33. Peloggia M. 89. Sandro Rios 20. Wesley	88. Christian 23. Fagner 33. Janderson 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 36. Kaua Prates 57. Lelis R. 81. Otavio Costa (G) 40. Rhuan Gabriel 29. Romero L. 5. Walace 94. Wanderson
Coaches
Roque A.	Tite

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', William Furtado 🟨,
24', Gabriel Moyses 🟨,
25', Leandro Silva ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Gerson (A),
39', Hippolito 🟨,
39', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Arroyo K. ⚽, William Furtado (A),
45+10', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arroyo K. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
46', Andrade F. ↓, Laercio ↑,
46', Hippolito ↓, Wesley ↑,
58', Pedrinho 🟥,
67', Kaio Jorge ↓, Wanderson ↑,
67', Gerson ↓, Christian ↑,
76', Villalba L. ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
80', Augusto G. ↓, Sandro Rios ↑,
80', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
83', Kaiki ↓, Kaua Prates ↑,
90+3', Peloggia M. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Peloggia M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URT won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, URT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, URT won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Recreativa dos Trabalhadores
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.02.26	Tombense - URT	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	América Mineiro - URT	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	URT - Itabirito	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Betim - URT	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	URT - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Mirassol - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.26	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.02.26	Cruzeiro - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.02.26	Betim - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.01.26	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.01.22	Cruzeiro - URT	3:0
06.03.21	URT - Cruzeiro	0:2
26.07.20	Cruzeiro - URT	3:0
24.02.19	URT - Cruzeiro	1:1
07.03.18	Cruzeiro - URT	3:0
18.02.17	URT - Cruzeiro	1:1
31.01.16	Cruzeiro - URT	0:0

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