Match Info

Mineiro - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)


	Tombense		URT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.85
	1.95	3.08	4.08
	1.95	3.03	4.08	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	1.9	2.99	4.19	Watch
	1.96	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	4.05 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
46.8%

Draw
30.6%

URT
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for URT than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tombense - URT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Auro 3. Rony Fernandes 4. Wesley (C) 6. PH 8. Cleiton 5. Wanderson 11. Felipinho 10. Pedro Oliveira 7. Ronald 9. Julio Cesar	1. Ariel (G) 33. Peloggia M. 3. Leo Santos 4. Victor Sallinas (C) 25. Augusto G. 5. John Everson 20. Wesley 11. Cesar 15. Hippolito 21. Andrade F. 19. Gabriel Moyses
Substitutes
14. Breno Roma 23. Davi Schneider (G) 15. Diego Leandro 12. Douglas Marques (G) 13. Julio Henrique 19. Jupi 17. Luiz Felipe 16. Xavier	12. Arthur Gazze (G) 16. Bruninho 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 26. Dutra G. 13. Evson 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 99. Marcelo Macola 23. Matheus Baronio (G) 89. Sandro Rios 6. Vitor Gottems
Coaches
Borges C.	Roque A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', John Everson 🟨,
33', Cesar 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Leo Santos ⚽,
42', Augusto G. 🟨,
43', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Sandro Rios ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Felipinho ↓, Xavier ↑,
57', Julio Cesar ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
60', Auro ↓, Julio Henrique ↑,
61', Ronald 🟨,
72', Julio Henrique 🟨,
75', Rony Fernandes ↓, Breno Roma ↑,
75', Wanderson ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
77', Wesley ↓, Vitor Gottems ↑,
77', Andrade F. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 4.

Tombense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

URT's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tombense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	Athletic Club - Tombense	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tombense - URT	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Itabirito - Tombense	2:3 ✺
25.01.26	Tombense - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Tombense - North Esporte Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWL
- União Recreativa dos Trabalhadores
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	URT - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tombense - URT	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	América Mineiro - URT	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	URT - Itabirito	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Betim - URT	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.02.26	Tombense - URT	3:1
12.03.22	Tombense - URT	2:0
13.03.21	Tombense - URT	1:0
15.02.20	Tombense - URT	4:0
27.01.19	URT - Tombense	1:1
04.03.18	URT - Tombense	1:0
09.04.17	Tombense - URT	1:2

Tombense - URT: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide