Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-korea	Coupang Play, TV Chosun, Tving, tvN
Usa	Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, TNT, UNIVERSO NOW


	USA		South Korea

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.12	3.25	3.25
	2.19	3.36	3.39
	2.23	3.09	3.36	Watch
	2.27	3.42	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.87)	3.27 ↓ (3.75)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
43.1%

Draw
28.9%

South Korea
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA's form might have worsened.

South Korea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

USA - South Korea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 5 - 50%). South Korea will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - USA (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): USA will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Freese M. (G) New York City 2. Dest S. PSV 13. Ream T. (C) Charlotte FC 15. Blackmon T. Vancouver Whitecaps 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 4. Adams T. Bournemouth 8. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 21. Weah T. Marseille 10. Pulisic C. AC Milan 7. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 9. Sargent J. Norwich	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) Ulsan Hyundai 22. Seol Young-Woo Crvena zvezda 14. Kim Ju-Sung Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13. Lee Tae-Seok Austria Vienna 4. Kim Min-Jae Bayern Munich 3. Lee Han-Beom Midtjylland 11. Lee Dong-Gyeong Gimcheon Sangmu 8. Paik Seung-Ho Birmingham 24. Kim Jin-gyu Jeonbuk 10. Lee Jae-Sung Mainz 7. Son Heung-Min (C) Los Angeles FC
Substitutes
20. Balogun F. Monaco 22. Celentano R. (G) FC Cincinnati 14. de la Torre L. San Diego FC 11. Downs D. Southampton 16. Freeman A. Orlando City 19. Harriel N. Philadelphia Union 12. Klinsmann J. (G) Cesena 6. McGlynn J. Houston Dynamo 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 24. Roldan C. Seattle Sounders 17. Zendejas A. Club America	17. Bae J. Stoke City 20. Byeon Jun-Soo Gwangju FC 23. Castrop J. B. Monchengladbach 25. Jeong S. St. Louis City 15. Kim Moon-Hwan Daejeon 1. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) FC Tokyo 26. Kim Tae-Hyeon Kashima Antlers 18. Lee Kang-In PSG 2. Lee Myung-Jae Daejeon 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu Genk 9. Oh Se-Hun Machida Zelvia . Park Jin-Seob Jeonbuk 5. Park Yong-Woo Al Ain 6. Seo Min-Woo Gangwon 12. Song Bum-Keun (G) Jeonbuk
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Hong Myung-Bo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Son Heung-Min ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
43', 0 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Bae J. ↑,
62', Weah T. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
62', Dest S. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
62', Adams T. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
62', Sargent J. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
63', Kim Jin-gyu ↓, Castrop J. ↑,
63', Son Heung-Min ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
64', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
70', Luna D. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
79', Berhalter S. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
81', Zendejas A. 🟨,
83', Seol Young-Woo ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
83', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,

Preview

USA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, USA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Gold Cup
06.07.25	USA - Mexico	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	USA - Guatemala	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
22.06.25	USA - Haiti	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Saudi Arabia - USA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- South Korea
EAFF E-1
15.07.25	South Korea - Japan	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	South Korea - China	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	South Korea - Kuwait	4:0 ✺
05.06.25	Iraq - South Korea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
01.02.14	USA - South Korea	2:0

USA - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide