Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 14

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	USFAS Bamako		Derby Académie

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.82	4.25	Watch
	2.04	2.69	4.13
	2.01	2.86	4.17	Watch
	2.05	2.6	3.9
	1.91	3.14	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.77)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	4.17 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USFAS Bamako
45.9%

Draw
32.2%

Derby Académie
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

29.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

28.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USFAS Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USFAS Bamako's form might have worsened.

Derby Académie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USFAS Bamako, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Derby Académie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, USFAS is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
19.02.26	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	Mali Coura - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLT
- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
06.02.26	Derby Académie - Afrique Football Elite	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Mali Coura - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Derby Académie - Korofina	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Bougouni - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTL

USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide