Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 6

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Omar Hammadi (Algiers)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
South-africa	SABC Plus
Usa	beIN Connect


	USM Alger		Jaraaf

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.5	11	Watch
	1.34	4.1	8.25
				Watch
	1.36	3.74	11.48	Watch
	1.33	4	12
	1.41	3.83	11.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.62)	3.83 ↑ (3.35)	10.87 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 5

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
67.6%

Draw
24%

Jaraaf
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

27.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

26.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USM Alger's performance.

Jaraaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaraaf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraaf than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraaf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

USM Alger - Jaraaf Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Jaraaf will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. 21. Alilet A. 4. Mondeko Zatu K. 23. Chetti I. 13. Embarek O. 14. Benzaza B. 11. Likonza G. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Belkacemi I. 22. Alli W. M.	24. Lo Ndoye C. (G) 21. Bocande J. 4. Gueye M. 3. Diedhiou A. 9. Fall F. 26. Ba M. 8. Kane I. 6. Gueye M. 30. Faty A. 29. Mathew Fall A. 20. Oualy A.
Substitutes
3. Atmania S. 31. Benmazouz M. 12. Bousseliou K. 6. Chita O. 17. Gassama S. 15. Lamara N. 2. Mahrouz R. 8. Merili I. 16. Soufi K. (G)	13. Aziz Diaw E. A. 31. Cisse S. 15. Coly N. 10. Koita M. 22. Ndiaye M. 16. Ngwaga E. 40. Saliou G. 11. Sarr A.
Coaches
Maaloul N.	Daf M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chetti I. ↓, Lamara N. ↑,
50', Fall F. 🟨,
61', Kane I. ↓, Aziz Diaw E. A. ↑,
64', Embarek O. ↓, Merili I. ↑,
67', Fall F. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
79', Faty A. ↓, Coly N. ↑,
80', Mathew Fall A. ↓, Saliou G. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Belkacemi I. ⚽,
85', Alli W. M. ↓, Bousseliou K. ↑,
86', Merili I. ↓, Chita O. ↑,
90+2', Belkacemi I. ↓, Mahrouz R. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 0, Radouani S. ⚽, Mahrouz R. (A),

Preview

USM Alger is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Play Offs )

USM Alger is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jaraaf is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jaraaf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match USM Alger is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches USM Alger won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Cup
16.01.25	USM Alger - Olympique Magrane	6:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
12.01.25	Orapa United - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
26.12.24	USM Alger - Oran	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	ES Sétif - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWT
- ASC Jaraaf
CAF Confederation Cup
12.01.25	Jaraaf - ASEC Mimosas	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Jaraaf - Orapa United	1:0 ✺
Senegal Ligue 1
31.12.24	Jaraaf - Pikine	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Gorée - Jaraaf	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Orapa United - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Jaraaf - USM Alger	0:0

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