Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade 5 Juillet 1962 (Algiers)

Referee: Beida D. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	USM Alger		Young Africans

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.85	3.45	3.6
	1.74	3.38	4.78
	1.7	3.25	4.6	Watch
	1.74	3.5	4.65	Watch
	1.77	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	4.26 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
51.8%

Draw
26.9%

Young Africans
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

28.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Young Africans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

USM Alger - Young Africans Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Young Africans will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Benbout O. (G) 19. Radouani S. 4. Belaid Z. 21. Alilet A. 12. Loucif H. 23. Bousseliou K. 8. Merili I. 6. Chita O. 15. Merbah M. 31. Orebonye T. 18. Mahious A.	39. Diarra D. (G) 21. Shabani D. 2. Hamad I. A. 3. Mwamnyeto B. (C) 5. Dickson J. 27. Yahya M. 18. Sureboy 29. Kisinda T. 13. Mutambala L. 9. Mayele F. 25. Musonda K.
Substitutes
20. Alharaish Z. E. 27. Bekakchi I. 3. Belharane A. 7. Belkacemi I. 16. Benchlef I. (G) 24. Benkhelifa T. 5. Bouchina M. 26. Djahnit A. 10. Meziane A.	10. Aziz Ki S. 4. Bangala Y. L. 1. Mnata M. (G) 12. Moloko J. 33. Morrison B. 17. Mussa F. 40. Mzize C. 15. Shomari K. 20. Zawadi M.
Coaches
Benchikha A.	Nabi M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches USM Alger is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Young Africans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

USM Alger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently USM Alger have a series of guest games.

USM Alger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches USM Alger won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams USM Alger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
28.05.23	Young Africans - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
21.05.23	Paradou - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
17.05.23	USM Alger - ASEC Mimosas	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	ASEC Mimosas - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
05.05.23	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTL
- Young Africans SC
CAF Confederation Cup
28.05.23	Young Africans - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
17.05.23	Marumo Gallants - Young Africans	1:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
13.05.23	Young Africans - Dodoma Jiji	4:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
10.05.23	Young Africans - Marumo Gallants	2:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
04.05.23	Singida Fountain Gate - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
28.05.23	Young Africans - USM Alger	1:2
19.08.18	Young Africans - USM Alger	2:1
06.05.18	USM Alger - Young Africans	4:0

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