Match Info

FNL - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Ufa		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.07	4.93
	1.95	3.1	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	4.61 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ufa
48.3%

Draw
31%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 12. Lipovoy D. 5. Kutin D. 55. Shlyakov E. 14. Agapov I. 18. Kamilov V. 22. Yusupov Z. 15. Khabalov A. 24. Mrzljak F. 71. Yakuev M. 70. Ortiz D.	23. Matyusha M. (G) 33. Khalilov M. 21. Chistyakov N. 18. Nikolaev O. 3. Pliev Z. 99. Morozov K. 8. Tarba Z. 77. Zarypbekov E. 10. Zhigulev I. 7. Antonov A. 98. Khubulov A.
Substitutes
88. Ageyan M. 23. Akhatov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 8. Isaev S. 27. Ivanov A. 50. Khomukha I. 1. Lomaev I. (G) 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 17. Ozmanov D. 7. Perchenok A. 79. Troyanov K.	9. Antsiperov D. 11. Konovalov I. 5. Krachkovskii A. 88. Magomedov Z. 31. Natabashvili G. (G) 91. Suslov K. 90. Sutugin I. 59. Syshchenko M. 17. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Tetradze O.	Popov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lipovoy D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
50', Ortiz D. 🟨,
52', Yakuev M. ↓, Akhatov D. ↑,
52', Mrzljak F. ↓, Isaev S. ↑,
73', Khalilov M. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
76', Tarba Z. 🟨,
82', Chistyakov N. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
84', Pliev Z. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Yusupov Z. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', Antonov A. ↓, Sutugin I. ↑,
90+2', Khabalov A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Ufa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chernomorets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chernomorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ufa is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ufa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
12.04.26	Ural - Ufa	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ufa - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLWW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
11.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
07.09.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa	3:2
30.11.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Ufa	2:1
12.10.24	Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:3

Upcoming Matches