Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelyabinsk		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.31	4.66
	1.92	3.37	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.01)	3.34 ↑ (3.15)	4.69 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
50.5%

Draw
28.9%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Chelyabinsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Golikov D. A. (G) 5. Gatin B. 27. Kochiev K. 2. Zhirov A. (C) 66. Gudkov Y. 77. Samoilov D. 18. Kertanov K. 10. Gadzhimuradov R. 75. Zhamaletdinov T. 70. Levin G. 88. Eza W.	23. Matyusha M. (G) 91. Suslov K. 3. Pliev Z. (C) 99. Morozov K. 18. Nikolaev O. 8. Tarba Z. 5. Krachkovskii A. 17. Zhilkin G. 77. Zarypbekov E. 7. Antonov A. 98. Khubulov A.
Substitutes
33. Agaev A. 91. Baytukov R. 21. Berdnikov A. 11. Gongadze G. 19. Komissarov T. 17. N'Diaye B. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 46. Pershin N. 15. Pushkarev D. 44. Rusyaev I. 93. Tuseev I. (G)	21. Chistyakov N. 33. Khalilov M. 11. Konovalov I. 44. Kukharchuk I. 88. Magomedov Z. 73. Shtepa M. (G) 90. Sutugin I.
Coaches
Pilipchuk R.	Popov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Zhamaletdinov T. 🟨,
42', Gadzhimuradov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tarba Z. ↓, Konovalov I. ↑,
46', Eza W. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Zarypbekov E. ⚽,
65', Levin G. ↓, Komissarov T. ↑,
65', Zhamaletdinov T. ↓, N'Diaye B. ↑,
65', Gatin B. ↓, Berdnikov A. ↑,
69', Krachkovskii A. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
73', Samoilov D. ↓, Pershin N. ↑,
78', Pershin N. 🟨,
84', Nikolaev O. ↓, Chistyakov N. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Gudkov Y. ⚽,
90+4', Antonov A. ↓, Magomedov Z. ↑,
90+6', Matyusha M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Chelyabinsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernomorets is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chelyabinsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Chelyabinsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13:19	-6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL
29.03.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Sokol Saratov - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
29.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chelyabinsk	0:0

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