The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ufa 37.4%
Draw 28.9%
Volga Ulyanovsk 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
30.3%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
29.5%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ufa's form might have worsened.
Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ufa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 5. Kutin D. 14. Agapov I. 2. Cherov V. 6. Tarba Z. 8. Isaev S. 9. Lipovoy D. 23. Akhatov D. 88. Ageyan M. 70. Ortiz D.
1. Shakerov R. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 5. Stepanov D. 30. Khabibullin A. 50. Bykov A. 7. Nikitin A. 22. Rakhmanov D. 55. Saplinov A. 77. Bagatelia L. 11. Khashkulov A.
Substitutes
7. Davlitgereev A. 10. Gongadze G. 69. Khanenko I. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 48. Lukyanov A. 19. Mayorov E. 17. Ozmanov D. 97. Polesovshchikov A. 20. Shipunov T.
88. Dziov M. 9. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 60. Kasyanov I. 95. Khodanovych A. 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 14. Yakovlev V.
Coaches
Tetradze O.
Tuskaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Stepanov D. 🟨,
22', Lipovoy D. 🟨,
26', Bykov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', Kutin D. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Bagatelia L. ⚽,
57', Akhatov D. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
65', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Novikov D. ↑,
65', Bagatelia L. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽,
76', Khashkulov A. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Gongadze G. ⚽,
81', Bykov A. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Saplinov A. ⚽,
89', Krasilnichenko O. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Volga Ulyanovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ufa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ufa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).