Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	Ujpest		Basel

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5	Watch
	5	4.1	1.5	Watch
	6.25	4.35	1.5
	5.2	4.1	1.45
	5.74	3.92	1.46
	7	4	1.36
	5.95	4.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↑ (5.85)	4.14 ↓ (4.26)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest
15.2%

Draw
22.1%

Basel
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

21.3%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

12.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ujpest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.1%	6.1%	87.8%

Ujpest - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: Basel will win (130 of 148 users predict this - 87.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.57% – 93.11%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ujpest is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Basel is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
01.08.21	Ujpest - Puskás Academy	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Vaduz - Ujpest	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.21	III. Kerületi TVE - Ujpest	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Ujpest - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	DAC Dunajská Streda - Ujpest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
01.08.21	Basel - Sion	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Partizani Tirana - Basel	0:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.07.21	Grasshoppers - Basel	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Basel - Partizani Tirana	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Hamburger SV - Basel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

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