Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP Bank Liga - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Szusza Ferenc Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +


	Ujpest		Kecskemeti

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.7	4.7
	1.69	3.81	4.97
	1.7	3.72	4.81	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.68	4.51
	1.67	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	4.72 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ujpest
54.9%

Draw
25.4%

Kecskemeti
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Ujpest - Kecskemeti Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kecskemeti will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Piscitelli R. (G) 55. Fiola A. 25. Baranyai N. 35. Duarte A. 5. Kobouri D. 18. Lacoux T. 10. Tajti M. 47. Mucsanyi M. 9. Brodic F. 11. Horvath K. 77. Denes A.	46. Kersak R. (G) 17. Berki M. 15. Szabo A. 18. Belenyesi C. 6. Katona L. 77. Zeke M. 27. Zsoter D. 44. Nikitscher T. 11. Kovacs B. 7. Palinkas G. 55. Lukacs D.
Substitutes
4. Babos L. 8. Dekei M. 26. Geiger B. 1. Gellert G. (G) 74. Kaczvinszki D. 70. Karamoko M. 88. Ljujic M. 15. Mucsanyi M. 29. Onovo V. 38. Sarkadi K. 99. Svekus O. (G)	88. Katona B. 72. Kotula M. 14. Kovacs K. 9. Majer M. 23. Meskhi M. 29. Montiel T. 10. Nagy K. 1. Palfi K. (G) 24. Papp M. 74. Polyak K. I. 21. Ryashko M. 20. Varga B. (G)
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Gera Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Baranyai N. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Zsoter D. ⚽, Berki M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Denes A. ⚽, Kobouri D. (A),
51', Kovacs B. 🟨,
61', Kovacs B. ↓, Nagy K. ↑,
72', Mucsanyi M. 🟨,
75', Palinkas G. ↓, Montiel T. ↑,
82', Zsoter D. ↓, Meskhi M. ↑,
84', Fiola A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ujpest won 3.

Ujpest is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Kecskemeti is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kecskemeti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ujpest is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ujpest won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26:18 (average 1.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ujpest won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ujpest FC
Hungarian NB I
08.12.24	Debreceni - Ujpest	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Ujpest - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Videoton - Ujpest	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Ujpest - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Puskás Academy - Ujpest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWTT
- Kecskemeti TE
Hungarian NB I
07.12.24	Kecskemeti - Diósgyőri	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Győri ETO - Kecskemeti	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Debreceni - Kecskemeti	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Kecskemeti - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Videoton - Kecskemeti	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
01.09.24	Kecskemeti - Ujpest	1:3
10.05.24	Ujpest - Kecskemeti	0:3
17.02.24	Kecskemeti - Ujpest	1:0
21.10.23	Ujpest - Kecskemeti	5:3
21.05.23	Ujpest - Kecskemeti	3:0
26.02.23	Kecskemeti - Ujpest	2:2
07.10.22	Ujpest - Kecskemeti	1:2

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