Match Info

Date: 25 June 2022, Saturday


	Ulaanbaatar City		Deren

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	1.88
	3.1	3.85	1.87
	3.3	3.9	1.75
	2.85	3.54	1.91
	2.95	4.1	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.25)	3.86 ↑ (3.37)	1.88 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulaanbaatar City
29.4%

Draw
23.1%

Deren
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

25.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulaanbaatar City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulaanbaatar City's form might have worsened.

Deren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulaanbaatar City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulaanbaatar City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deren than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Ulaanbaatar City - Deren Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ulaanbaatar City will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Deren will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deren: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 3).

Ulaanbaatar City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deren is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulaanbaatar City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulaanbaatar City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulaanbaatar City FC
Mongolian Premier League
23.06.22	Athletic 220 - Ulaanbaatar City	0:4 ✺
20.06.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Khovd	1:1 ✺
17.06.22	BCH Lions - Ulaanbaatar City	2:8 ✺
22.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Khangarid	3:3 ✺
19.05.22	Ulaanbaatar City - Tuv Buganuud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTW
- Deren FC
Mongolian Premier League
22.06.22	Deren - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	1:5 ✺
19.06.22	Ulaanbaatar - Deren	2:3 ✺
16.06.22	Deren - Falcons	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Tuv Buganuud - Deren	2:1 ✺
19.05.22	Athletic 220 - Deren	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
30.04.22	Deren - Ulaanbaatar City	2:1
14.09.21	Deren - Ulaanbaatar City	3:0
08.08.21	Ulaanbaatar City - Deren	0:2
08.09.20	Deren - Ulaanbaatar City	2:0
29.07.20	Ulaanbaatar City - Deren	1:1

Ulaanbaatar City - Deren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide