Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Ullensaker Kisa		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.6	3.7	1.85
	3.55	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2
	3.43	3.75	2.1
	3.3	3.4	2.05
	3.34	3.75	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	3.66 ↓ (3.83)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullensaker Kisa
27.4%

Draw
25.6%

Jerv
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

24.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

19.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullensaker Kisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ullensaker Kisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ullensaker Kisa - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Play Offs)).

Ull/Kisa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jerv is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jerv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ull/Kisa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Ull/Kisa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.10.21	Åsane - Ullensaker Kisa	3:3 ✺
02.10.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Grorud	1:2 ✺
29.09.21	Bryne - Ullensaker Kisa	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Raufoss	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Fredrikstad - Ullensaker Kisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.10.21	Jerv - Ranheim	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Sogndal - Jerv	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Jerv - Aalesunds	2:2 ✺
26.09.21	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	3:1 ✺
18.09.21	Jerv - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
12.07.21	Jerv - Ullensaker Kisa	3:3
14.10.20	Jerv - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1
13.07.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Jerv	2:2
Club Friendly
05.03.20	Ullensaker Kisa - Jerv	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.09.19	Ullensaker Kisa - Jerv	1:0
12.05.19	Jerv - Ullensaker Kisa	2:0
04.11.18	Ullensaker Kisa - Jerv	4:1

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