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Current Win Probability
Jerv 25.3%
Draw 25.6%
Aalesunds 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
24%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
23.2%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jerv's performance.
Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jerv that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
12.5%
56.2%
Jerv - Aalesunds Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 32% – 80.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).
Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (88.83%), has project points - 19, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Aalesunds has the most likely position - 12 (21.41%), has project points - 36, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality18, very small importance5, small match rating12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0.
Jerv has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Aalesunds is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Aalesunds is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Aalesunds to win the game is with odds 1.75.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Watch
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