Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 15

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)


	Sogndal		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.4	5.25
	1.48	4.6	5.5
	1.52	4.74	5.58
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.65	5.7	Watch
	1.48	4.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.84)	4.51 ↑ (3.3)	5.53 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
62.5%

Draw
20.7%

Jerv
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sogndal's performance.

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jerv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sogndal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Sogndal - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jerv will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sogndal: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fij R. (G) 11. Hoven A. 26. van der Spa A. 4. Arrocha D. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 15. Nesso K. 20. Twum I. 10. Skaanes K. 7. Jonsson J. 8. Ingimundarson V. 27. Orjasaeter S.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 4. Mutsinzi A. (C) 3. Larade L. 27. Philibert E. 2. Wichne T. 15. Brenden E. 8. Ugland M. 21. Auklend S. 22. Bredeli H. 54. Syvertsen P. 30. Cijntje J.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 13. Flo P. 3. Gueye M. 33. Kalstad A. 9. Kupen E. 31. Nundal J. 32. Oren M. 35. Saetren D. (G) 29. Steinset K.	88. Duesund E. 16. Krogelien H. 18. Richstad A. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L. 6. Wichmann M. 13. Windegaard E. (G)
Coaches
Flo T.	Sandsto A.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jerv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sogndal is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.07.23	Skeid - Sogndal	2:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Sogndal - Sarpsborg 08	3:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTW
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.07.23	Jerv - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	4:3 ✺
23.06.23	Start - Jerv	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Jerv - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Kjelsås - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Sandnes Ulf - Jerv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.21	Sogndal - Jerv	1:1
02.07.21	Jerv - Sogndal	1:0
28.10.20	Sogndal - Jerv	1:0
14.09.20	Jerv - Sogndal	0:3
20.10.19	Sogndal - Jerv	4:0
28.07.19	Jerv - Sogndal	1:1
29.07.18	Jerv - Sogndal	0:0

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