Match Info

3. Liga - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Erzgebirge Aue		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.2	2.8
	2.56	3.22	2.97
	2.52	3.08	2.91	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.58	2.94	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.23)	3.08 ↓ (3.41)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
37%

Draw
30.3%

Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (C) 23. Barylla A. 24. Nkansah S. 13. Majetschak E. 29. Rosenlocher L. 30. Loune A. 20. Fabisch J. 8. Clausen M. 10. Pepic M. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B.	31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 43. Krevsun D. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 42. Kabar A. 8. Roggow F. 6. Azhil A. (C) 38. Watjen K. 14. Eberwein M. 7. Besong P. 20. Hettwer J.
Substitutes
17. Fallmann P. 27. Henkel A. 19. Hoffmann T. 18. Kallenbach W. 25. Kips T. (G) 12. Schimkus L. 37. Seidel P. 7. Seitz S. 4. Vukancic N.	26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 33. Estevao T. (G) 5. Foti A. 17. Gobel P. 29. Jessen N. 27. Lelle D.
Coaches
Hartel J.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Tashchy B. ⚽, Loune A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Besong P. ⚽, Hettwer J. (A),
38', Barylla A. 🟨,
43', Nkansah S. 🟨,
43', Hettwer J. 🟨,
45+1', Krevsun D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Krevsun D. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Clausen M. ⚽, Sijaric O. (A),
67', Sijaric O. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
69', Azhil A. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
74', Fabisch J. 🟨,
75', Besong P. ↓, Lelle D. ↑,
76', Barylla A. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
85', Kabar A. 🟨,
85', Kabar A. ↓, Gobel P. ↑,
85', Watjen K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
90', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Hoffmann T. ↑,
90+4', Seitz S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).

Aue is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia Dortmund II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Aue: Bar M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Barylla A. (Stomach Disorder) Ozkan C. (Knee Injury) Rosenlocher L. (Stomach Disorder) Stefaniak M. (Yellow Cards) Vukancic N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Campbell C. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Health problems) Jessen N. (Health problems)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund II - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:2 ✺
08.04.25	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Erzgebirge Aue - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
13.04.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Energie Cottbus	4:1 ✺
09.04.25	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	3:3 ✺
29.03.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
24.11.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1
27.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
25.11.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
15.05.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	3:3
11.11.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1

Upcoming Matches