Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2	3.8	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.25
	2.1	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.16	3.94	3.26
	2.11	3.94	3.26
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	2.02	3.6	3.26
	2.05	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.88)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	3.19 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
45.4%

Draw
25.3%

Lübeck
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Borussia Dortmund II - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund II will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Estevao T. (G) 17. Gobel P. 23. Pfanne F. 21. Blank H. 3. Bueno G. 8. Roggow F. 32. Kamara A. 30. Pohlmann O. 20. Hettwer J. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 10. Michel F.	1. Klewin P. (G) 37. Sternberg J. 17. Grupe T. 27. Reddemann S. 13. Thiel M. 7. Hauptmann M. 8. Egerer F. 31. Boland M. 14. Akono C. 25. Gozusirin T. 33. Schneider J.
Substitutes
6. Azhil A. 7. Bamba S. 16. Lutke-Frie D. 29. Nischalke J. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 37. Semic L. 5. Suver M. 19. Tattermusch T.	34. Adou E. 23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 29. Facklam M. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 22. Sommer L. 20. Taffertshofer U.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Pfeiffer L.

Preview

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lübeck is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia Dortmund II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3 ✺
13.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLT
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Lübeck - Unterhaching	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Verl - Lübeck	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL

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