Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Ingolstadt		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.7	3
	1.36	4.48	8.52	Watch
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.04	3.42	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)	3.75 ↑ (3.48)	4.44 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
52.3%

Draw
25.9%

Ulm 1846
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

24.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ingolstadt's performance.

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulm 1846 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulm 1846 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Hoppe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Mamba S. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Aksakal E. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ingolstadt could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ulm 1846 - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Ingolstadt - Verl	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Energie Cottbus - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Schweinfurt - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.03.26	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	1:3
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
24.02.24	Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt	0:0
30.09.23	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:0

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