Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ulm 1846		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.95	3.4	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.35	Watch
	3.08	3.44	2.39
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.24
	2.85	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.34)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	2.27 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
31.8%

Draw
27.5%

Dynamo Dresden
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Dresden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Dresden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ulm 1846 - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 4. Gaal T. 6. Geyer T. (C) 25. Yarbrough L. 7. Allgeier B. 26. Maier P. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 9. Roser L. 22. Scienza L.	1. Drljaca S. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 31. Lewald J. 33. Kraulich T. 23. Bunning L. 28. Will P. 19. Herrmann L. 27. Hauptmann N. 29. Borkowski D. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 22. Zimmerschied T.
Substitutes
8. Ahrend L. 27. Grozinger D. 19. Hannemann M. 21. Jann N. 20. Jastremski L. 10. Ludwig A. 1. Otto L. (G) 28. Risch S. 31. Ruhle T.	6. Berger T. 35. Broll K. (G) 39. Ehlers K. 10. Lemmer J. 8. Meier J. 21. Meissner R. 25. Oehmichen J. 9. Schaffler M. 7. Vlachodimos P.
Coaches
Worle T.	Anfang M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Dynamo Dresden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dynamo Dresden will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
06.10.23	Sandhausen - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLWW
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
07.10.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Dynamo Dresden - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW

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