Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	Onefootball app


	Ulm 1846		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.78	3.7	2.08
	3.74	3.61	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.56	3.76	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.07)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
26.8%

Draw
26%

Karlsruher
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	4.8%	90.5%

Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: Karlsruher will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 6. Geyer T. (C) 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 26. Maier P. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 33. Higl F.	1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 29. Gunther L. 7. Burnic D. 17. Rapp N. 6. Jensen L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Zivzivadze B. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
7. Allgeier B. 4. Gaal T. 16. Keller A. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 13. Nelson J. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 20. Ulrich L.	26. Bauer B. 31. Conte B. 25. Egloff L. 20. Herold D. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 16. Pfeiffer L. 39. Zengin E.
Coaches
Worle T.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Rapp N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Burnic D. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
65', Schleusener F. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
66', Gunther L. ↓, Herold D. ↑,
68', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
83', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
87', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
87', Jensen L. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
88', Higl F. 🟨,
90+1', Strompf P. 🟨,
90+1', Franke M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Franke M. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
90+5', Maier P. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Karlsruher will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ulm: Brandt M. (Red Card) Gaal T. (Ankle Injury) Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury) Reichert J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Bormuth R. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Muscle Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ulm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Stuttgart - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLWWL
- Karlsruher SC
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
22.09.24	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.01.24	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	4:0
16.11.23	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:2

Upcoming Matches