Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Poland	13:30	Viaplay
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	14:30	Setanta Sports+
International	11:30	Onefootball app


	Ulm 1846		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.78	3.7	2.08
	3.74	3.61	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.56	3.76	1.98	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.07)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
26.8%

Draw
26%

Karlsruher
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	4.8%	90.5%

Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: Karlsruher will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 6. Geyer T. (C) 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 26. Maier P. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 33. Higl F.	1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 29. Gunther L. 7. Burnic D. 17. Rapp N. 6. Jensen L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Zivzivadze B. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
7. Allgeier B. 4. Gaal T. 16. Keller A. 10. Ludwig A. 19. Meier J. 13. Nelson J. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 20. Ulrich L.	26. Bauer B. 31. Conte B. 25. Egloff L. 20. Herold D. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 16. Pfeiffer L. 39. Zengin E.
Coaches
Worle T.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Rapp N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Burnic D. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
65', Schleusener F. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
66', Gunther L. ↓, Herold D. ↑,
68', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
83', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
87', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
87', Jensen L. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
88', Higl F. 🟨,
90+1', Strompf P. 🟨,
90+1', Franke M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Franke M. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
90+5', Maier P. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Karlsruher will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ulm: Brandt M. (Red Card) Gaal T. (Ankle Injury) Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury) Reichert J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Bormuth R. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Muscle Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ulm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Stuttgart - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLWWL
- Karlsruher SC
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
22.09.24	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.01.24	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	4:0
16.11.23	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	0:2

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