Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Karlsruher		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.68	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.58
	2.86	3.06	2.62	Watch
				Watch
	2.69	3.28	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	3.23 ↑ (3.16)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
34.4%

Draw
29.1%

Schalke 04
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Karlsruher - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Karlsruher (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 20%). Schalke (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 6. Rapp N. 4. Beifus M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 20. Herold D. 11. Forster P. 10. Wanitzek M. 9. Simic R. 24. Schleusener F.	1. Karius L. (G) 43. Ayhan M. 25. Katic N. 2. Sanchez F. 17. Gantenbein A. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 8. Younes A. 19. Karaman K. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
28. Franke M. 13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 44. Laghrissi E. 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 21. Waschenbach M.	30. Donkor A. 37. Gruger M. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 4. Kurucay H. 27. Porath F. 39. Remmert P. 38. Vozar L. 35. Wallentowitz M. 16. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Ayhan M. 🟨,
25', Rapp N. 🟨,
40', Younes A. 🟨,
45+3', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Younes A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
46', Burnic D. ↓, Franke M. ↑,
64', Franke M. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Karaman K. (Pen),
66', Simic R. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
72', Gantenbein A. ↓, Remmert P. ↑,
73', Rapp N. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
76', Karius L. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
84', Becker V. 🟨,
84', Schleusener F. 🟨,
85', Becker V. ↓, Donkor A. ↑,
87', Herold D. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽,
90+4', Schleusener F. ↓, Scholl P. ↑,
90+4', Porath F. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Jung S. (Back Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Antwi-Adjei C. (Calf Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Knock)

There are questionable in Schalke: Becker V. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.14%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Karlsruher - Kaiserslautern	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTW
- Schalke 04
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hannover - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.25	Bohemians Dublin - Schalke 04	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
16.02.25	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	2:1
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0
31.03.24	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	0:0
22.10.23	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	3:0
26.02.22	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	1:1
17.09.21	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:2

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