Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	4.2	Watch
	1.7	4.33	4.2
	1.65	4.15	4.25	Watch
	1.74	4.4	4.45
	1.67	4.39	4.43	Watch
	1.67	4	4	Watch
	1.67	4.3	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	4.25 ↓ (4.52)	4.25 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
55.8%

Draw
22.1%

Karlsruher
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

20.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Magdeburg - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Karlsruher (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 27. Hercher P. 24. Hugonet J. 5. Muller T. 17. Nollenberger A. 25. Gnaka S. 21. Michel F. 8. Ulrich L. 18. Tachie R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Bernat C. (G) 5. Ambrosius S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 2. Jung S. 7. Burnic D. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 20. Herold D. 19. Ben Farhat L. 9. Simic R.
Substitutes
9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 29. Ghrieb R. 11. Holmstrom A. 30. Kruth N. (G) 16. Mathisen M. 19. Musonda L. 10. Pesch N. 6. Stalmach D.	11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 24. Schleusener F. 15. Scholl P. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Sander P.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
37', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
46', Hugonet J. ↓, Mathisen M. ↑,
46', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Ben Farhat L. ⚽,
57', Tachie R. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
64', Muller T. 🟨,
65', Burnic D. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Stalmach D. ⚽, Atik B. (A),
69', Simic R. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
69', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
79', Bernat C. 🟨,
82', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
82', Burnic D. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
82', Ulrich L. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
85', Herold D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
90+6', Michel F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.

Magdeburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlsruher has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Magdeburg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Chahed T. (Inactive) Heber D. (Inactive) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Loric S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Inactive) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Schalke 04 - Magdeburg	5:3 ✺
15.02.26	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0
22.02.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	3:1
22.09.24	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	2:2
17.03.24	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	7:0
07.10.23	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:1
05.02.23	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:1
24.07.22	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	2:3

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