Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 18

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ulm 1846		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.71	3.85	3.9
	1.87	3.55	3.7
	1.83	3.68	4.08
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.81	3.68	4.1
	1.85	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
50.7%

Draw
25.8%

Mainz II
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

24.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mainz II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ulm 1846 - Mainz II Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulm won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ulm will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ulm won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German Regionalliga Sudwest
19.11.22	Ulm 1846 - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Ulm 1846 - Astoria Walldorf	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.11.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Mainz II	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Mainz II - Astoria Walldorf	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Kickers Offenbach - Mainz II	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:1 ✺
21.10.22	Homburg - Mainz II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.08.22	Mainz II - Ulm 1846	0:4
18.03.22	Mainz II - Ulm 1846	0:3
28.09.21	Ulm 1846 - Mainz II	0:2
13.03.21	Ulm 1846 - Mainz II	3:1
30.09.20	Mainz II - Ulm 1846	1:1
22.09.19	Ulm 1846 - Mainz II	0:1
23.03.19	Ulm 1846 - Mainz II	1:0

Ulm 1846 - Mainz II