Match Info

3. Liga - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Nather M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Schweinfurt

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.65
	1.75	3.97	4.4
	1.83	3.47	4.17	Watch
	1.64	3.85	4.75	Watch
	1.67	4	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	4.42 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
54.7%

Draw
24.2%

Schweinfurt
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

20.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Schweinfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ulm 1846 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schweinfurt than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Ulm 1846 - Schweinfurt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Ulm (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ulm 1846 will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ulm 1846 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 28. Scholze M. 21. Seegert M. 34. Boller J. 32. Kolle N. 14. Dressel D. (C) 23. Brandt M. 11. Chessa D. 25. Loder E. 43. Dajaku L. 49. Becker A.	1. Stahl T. (G) 18. Trslic L. 8. Meissner T. (C) 23. Kratschmer P. 11. Celebi E. 3. Angleberger D. 13. Bohnlein K. 30. Geis J. 27. Obiogumu D. U. 17. Tranziska J. 33. Endres J.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Brown E. 17. Besong P. 31. Ehe B. 2. Gorlich L. 19. Meier J. 9. Roser L. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 30. Vater F. 8. Westermeier B.	21. Bausenwein L. 2. Doktorczyk N. 15. Fery K. 5. Grimbs N. 28. Luque-Notaro F. 37. Muller S. 19. Piwernetz N. 40. Weisbacker M. (G) 25. Wintzheimer M.
Coaches
Glasbrenner M.	Kleinhenz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Chessa D. ⚽, Loder E. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Endres J. ⚽,
19', Boller J. 🟨,
20', 2 - 1, Kolle N. ⚽,
26', Tranziska J. 🟨,
41', Angleberger D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Obiogumu D. U. ↓, Muller S. ↑,
60', Chessa D. 🟨,
60', Angleberger D. ↓, Fery K. ↑,
62', Chessa D. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
62', Becker A. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
70', Muller S. 🟨,
71', Celebi E. ↓, Bausenwein L. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Loder E. ⚽, Seegert M. (A),
77', 4 - 1, Kolle N. ⚽,
78', Dajaku L. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
78', Loder E. ↓, Anderson Brown E. ↑,
79', Kratschmer P. ↓, Grimbs N. ↑,
79', Tranziska J. ↓, Doktorczyk N. ↑,
84', 5 - 1, Roser L. ⚽, Dressel D. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Ulm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schweinfurt has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schweinfurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ulm is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
28.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWL
- 1. FC Schweinfurt 05
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.25	Schweinfurt - Alemannia Aachen	1:5 ✺
19.09.25	Saarbrücken - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Schweinfurt - Duisburg	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Ingolstadt - Schweinfurt	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Schweinfurt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWL

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